Glasshouse Fund
Symbol history

CAT, every decision the fund made

Every trade and directional call the AI fund has made on CAT, newest first, each linked to that day's full decision.

58 decision days0 with a trade
October 2, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 54%

Modestly positive five-day and 30-day returns support a slight relative-strength edge.

October 1, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 53%

Stable positive 5-day momentum and a nearly flat 30-day result modestly compare favorably with weak SPY momentum.

September 30, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Positive short- and medium-term momentum modestly supports outperformance versus a flat benchmark.

September 29, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 54%

Positive returns over both measured periods indicate modestly constructive industrial relative strength.

September 25, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 56%

Slightly negative 5-day and 30-day performance does not support a clear relative-strength case.

September 24, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 53%

CAT's positive five-day return and nearly flat 30-day performance provide a slight relative-strength edge over SPY.

September 23, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 58%

The stock appears fairly valued after a large run, with data-center-demand cyclicality a potential downside risk.

September 22, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 53%

Positive five-day momentum supports a modestly constructive industrial outlook despite a negative 30-day return.

September 21, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

CAT's 8.24% 30-day decline remains the dominant signal despite a positive recent week.

September 18, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 61%

Negative 5-day and 30-day performance suggests cyclical momentum remains weaker than SPY.

September 17, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 61%

Negative 5-day and -8.41% 30-day momentum suggest cyclical industrial weakness versus SPY.

September 16, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 64%

Negative returns over both five and 30 days indicate cyclical weakness without a cited offsetting catalyst.

September 15, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 65%

Negative returns over both five and 30 days point to cyclical weakness relative to SPY.

September 14, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

CAT has negative five-day and 30-day momentum, and higher rates create a less supportive backdrop for cyclical industrial exposure.

September 11, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 57%

Negative short- and medium-term momentum leaves CAT slightly less attractive than SPY.

September 10, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

A negative 30-day return and only modest recent strength leave CAT's trend weaker than the preferred relative-momentum profile.

September 9, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 58%

The five-day gain is constructive but has not reversed a 5.58% 30-day decline.

September 8, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 62%

Its 7.1% 30-day decline is substantially worse than SPY despite a recent five-day rebound.

September 7, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 54%

The positive weekly move is offset by a slightly negative 30-day return, leaving limited evidence of durable relative strength.

September 4, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 54%

Slight five-day weakness and a negative 30-day return provide limited evidence of relative leadership.

September 3, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Negative five-day and 30-day returns indicate cyclical weakness versus SPY.

September 2, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Negative returns over both 5 days and 30 days point to weaker cyclical relative momentum.

September 1, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 64%

CAT is down over both the five-day and 30-day periods, indicating weakening cyclical relative momentum.

August 26, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 65%

The -8.8% 30-day decline is a clear relative-performance deficit versus SPY.

August 25, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 62%

The 3.5% five-day decline and 8.9% 30-day decline suggest cyclical momentum is unfavorable relative to SPY.

August 24, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 68%

CAT is down 6.1% over five days and 4.2% over 30 days, materially trailing SPY.

August 21, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 67%

CAT's -4.8% five-day and -7.2% 30-day returns show clear relative weakness.

August 20, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 66%

Negative returns across five and 30 days indicate cyclical momentum is weaker than SPY.

August 19, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 67%

Its 7.9% 30-day decline materially trails SPY despite only modest recent stabilization.

August 18, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 59%

A 4.5% five-day rally is countered by a -5.4% 30-day decline, leaving insufficient evidence of durable relative strength.

August 17, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 66%

The 7.9% 30-day decline reflects established relative weakness despite a modest recent bounce.

August 14, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 66%

The 10.1% 30-day decline materially trails SPY despite modest positive five-day momentum.

August 13, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Its 8.7% 30-day decline trails the positive benchmark trend.

August 12, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 73%

A -10.88% 30-day decline signals pronounced relative weakness versus SPY.

August 11, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 73%

Large negative 5-day and 30-day returns point to persistent relative weakness.

August 10, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 73%

A 13.0% 30-day decline indicates persistent relative weakness despite a modest five-day rebound.

August 7, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Negative 30-day momentum and cyclical risks reduce chance of outperforming SPY.

August 5, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

CAT shows recent negative price trends and sector cyclical risks, likely underperforming SP500.

August 4, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 70%

Negative trend and sector cyclicality signal underperformance.

August 3, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 65%

Caterpillar's significant 30d negative returns point to underperformance risks relative to SPY.

July 31, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 65%

Negative 5d and 30d returns reflect cyclical challenges consistent with underperformance versus SPY.

July 30, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 62%

Negative momentum and cyclical uncertainties likely to weigh on performance.

July 29, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 70%

Continued price weakness and cyclical headwinds suggest underperformance.

July 28, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

Negative 30-day momentum and sector weakness point to slight underperformance.

July 27, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Slight positive momentum balanced by sector cyclicality.

July 24, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Negative 30-day price momentum and cyclical risks weigh on outlook.

July 23, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 54%

Weak recent momentum and economic sensitivity weigh on shares versus SPY.

July 22, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

CAT faces sector headwinds and momentum deterioration likely causing underperformance.

July 21, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 62%

Declining momentum and sector cyclicality indicate relative underperformance.

July 20, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Weak momentum over 5 and 30 days indicates pressure vs SPY.

July 17, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

Downward momentum relative to broader market expected to continue.

July 16, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Modest negative returns offset by stable fundamentals indicate performance close to market benchmarks.

July 15, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 58%

Despite short-term weakness, fundamental strength and positive 30-day returns support outperformance.

July 14, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

CAT shows mixed signals with mild negative short-term momentum balanced by small 30-day gains.

July 13, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Stable sector outlook and moderate recent returns support neutral performance vs SPY.

July 10, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 57%

Downward momentum in industrials points to CAT slightly underperforming relative to SPY.

July 9, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Stable fundamentals but sector cyclicality limit upside near term.

July 8, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Short-term weakness balanced by positive 30d, suggesting near-index performance.

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