Glasshouse Fund
Symbol history

TSM, every decision the fund made

Every trade and directional call the AI fund has made on TSM, newest first, each linked to that day's full decision.

58 decision days1 with a trade
October 2, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 63%

Positive momentum across both horizons supports ongoing semiconductor relative strength.

October 1, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 68%

Positive returns over both 5 and 30 days, alongside semiconductor strength, provide the clearest relative-strength setup.

September 30, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 66%

Positive five-day and 9.7% 30-day gains demonstrate durable semiconductor relative strength versus SPY.

September 29, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 62%

Positive returns over both horizons support continued AI-semiconductor relative strength, despite cyclical and geopolitical risk.

September 25, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 66%

Positive 5-day and 30-day semiconductor momentum is stronger than SPY and supports continued leadership.

September 24, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 61%

TSM's positive five-day and 30-day returns demonstrate durable semiconductor relative strength tied to AI infrastructure demand.

September 23, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 59%

Semiconductor manufacturing exposure remains strategically advantaged by AI demand, though higher rates and cyclicality constrain confidence.

September 22, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 62%

Consistent 5-day and 30-day semiconductor leadership supports outperformance, tempered by geopolitical and cycle risk.

September 21, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 59%

Positive returns over both periods, including a 4.26% five-day gain, support improving AI supply-chain relative strength.

September 18, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Slightly positive 30-day performance and limited recent weakness support a modest edge versus SPY.

September 17, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 58%

Negative 5-day and 30-day momentum amid semiconductor weakness modestly favor underperformance versus SPY.

September 16, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Negative five-day and 30-day returns indicate that semiconductor exposure remains under pressure.

September 15, 2026 BUY 28 Call: Underperform SPY · 61%

Negative returns over five and 30 days leave semiconductor-cycle momentum weaker than SPY.

September 14, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 57%

TSM's 3.5% 30-day gain is ahead of SPY, but negative recent momentum and broad semiconductor pressure warrant caution.

September 11, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Positive 30-day performance and near-flat five-day action compare favorably with SPY's decline.

September 10, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 60%

Positive returns over both five and 30 days support moderate semiconductor relative strength.

September 9, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 63%

Positive momentum across both periods supports semiconductor relative strength.

September 8, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 61%

Positive five-day and 30-day momentum supports relative strength within semiconductors.

September 7, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 60%

Positive returns across both periods support continued semiconductor relative strength.

September 4, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 53%

Near-flat five-day action and a 3.16% 30-day gain provide less compelling momentum than the broader technology benchmark.

September 3, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 56%

Positive 30-day performance supports modest outperformance despite a weak five-day period.

September 2, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 64%

A 10.5% 30-day gain supports semiconductor leadership despite a modestly negative 5-day return.

September 1, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 57%

TSM's 5.9% 30-day gain exceeds SPY, though a slightly negative five-day return indicates momentum is cooling.

August 26, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 53%

Positive 5-day momentum is offset by a slightly negative 30-day return that trails SPY.

August 25, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 59%

Negative returns on both horizons show semiconductor demand concerns remain more influential than the supportive long-term AI theme.

August 24, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

TSM's 4.1% 30-day gain modestly exceeds SPY, although the five-day semiconductor decline creates near-term risk.

August 21, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 56%

TSM's +4.4% 30-day return exceeds SPY, though recent momentum is modestly negative.

August 20, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 57%

Near-flat 30-day performance and negative five-day momentum trail SPY's stronger monthly result.

August 19, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 57%

Negative returns over five and 30 days indicate insufficient current relative momentum.

August 18, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 53%

Positive 30-day momentum is below SPY's return and sector-wide chip selling reduces confidence in relative outperformance.

August 17, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 54%

Positive but modest 5-day and 30-day gains lag SPY, leaving insufficient evidence of near-term outperformance.

August 14, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Positive five-day momentum supports a cautiously constructive view despite slightly negative 30-day performance.

August 13, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

Slightly negative 30-day momentum provides a modestly unfavorable relative signal.

August 12, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 56%

Positive five-day momentum is offset by a -3.41% 30-day return that trails SPY.

August 11, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 56%

Slightly positive 5-day momentum is offset by a negative 30-day return, leaving insufficient evidence of relative leadership.

August 10, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 63%

The 7.0% 30-day decline remains meaningfully weaker than SPY despite recent five-day strength.

August 7, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Negative 30-day momentum signals likely underperformance.

August 5, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

TSM’s negative momentum and sector cyclicality indicate expected underperformance.

August 4, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 68%

Negative momentum trends highlight semiconductor sector risks.

August 3, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 65%

TSMC's negative 30d momentum amid semiconductor sector weakness indicates underperformance vs SPY.

July 31, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Slight negative momentum and sector pressures suggest underperformance risk.

July 30, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 70%

Sector headwinds and momentum losses weigh on outlook.

July 29, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 70%

Negative momentum and sector pressures suggest underperformance ahead.

July 28, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 65%

Negative 30-day momentum and semiconductor headwinds likely cause underperformance.

July 27, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 50%

No strong momentum signal, hold neutral stance.

July 24, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 63%

Recent moderate negative momentum and sector cyclical risk dampen outlook.

July 23, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

Negative 30-day momentum with uncertain sector dynamics point to potential underperformance.

July 22, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 60%

TSMC’s moderate momentum and sector trends forecast market-matching returns.

July 21, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 62%

Negative momentum and sector headwinds expected to weigh on relative performance.

July 20, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 65%

Negative momentum and sector pressures imply lagging returns.

July 17, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 55%

Downward momentum and sector headwinds imply underperformance.

July 16, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Negative short-term momentum and returns predict underperformance.

July 15, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 56%

Moderate momentum with sector volatility suggests neutral outlook.

July 14, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

TSM's fading momentum and sector headwinds forecast underperformance.

July 13, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Mild negative momentum and stable fundamentals suggest neutral performance.

July 10, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 58%

Negative short-term momentum highlights downside risk relative to SPY.

July 9, 2026 Call: Outperform SPY · 55%

Mixed short and medium term returns put performance near market average.

July 8, 2026 Call: Underperform SPY · 60%

Mild negative momentum and sector uncertainty point to below benchmark returns.

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